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2020 Golden Globe winner predictions: EW picks who should and who will win

2020 Golden Globe winner predictions: EW picks who should and who will win

It’s really anyone’s guess as to who will take home a Golden Globe this coming Sunday, but if you need a little help with your awards ballot, EW’s movie critic Leah Greenblatt and TV critics Kristen Baldwin and Darren Franich have compiled their list of picks.

Netflix; Apple TV +; Andrew Cooper/Columbia; Barbara Nitke/STXFilms; Jojo Whilden/SHOWTIME; François Duhamel/Netflix; Pari Dukovic/FX

Check out their thoughts on the nominees below and see if you agree.

Best Motion Picture — DramaThe IrishmanJokerThe Two PopesMarriage Story1917

Should win: If drama is the category, is there a more fitting subject than divorce? Marriage Story is a near-perfect film in its convergence of script, acting, and pure craft — though 1917 would make for a more than worthy alternative if voters are feeling more traditional.
Will win: Joker is too divisive, Marriage Story too quiet, Popes too quirky/small, and 1917 probably too recent in terms of its release. The Irishman, a movie that reads like an epic survey course in Scorseseosity, may be the closest the Globes come to a sure thing. —Leah Greenblatt

Best Director — Motion PictureBong Joon-ho, ParasiteSam Mendes, 1917
Todd Phillips, JokerMartin Scorsese, The IrishmanQuentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Should win: A Korean family drama as the most sensational thing to happen to international cinema this year? That’s all on the brilliant Bong Joon-ho. (But let’s not miss a nod to Tarantino, too, for the shambolic, utterly fantastic Once Upon a Time).
Will win: The Irishman is far from Scorsese’s best film, but then again he never even won an Oscar until 2006’s The Departed; this may well be his victory lap for a five decade-plus career.  —LG

Niko Tavernise/Warner Bros.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — DramaChristian Bale, Ford v FerrariAntonio Banderas, Pain and GloryAdam Driver, Marriage StoryJoaquin Phoenix, JokerJonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

Should win: Banderas and Driver are both quietly brilliant in their parts; Pryce brought sly layers to his Pope, and it was great to see Bale in something fast, fun, and prosthetic-free again — really, there are no bad options in this category.
Will win: Phoenix lost the weight (50 pounds!) and gained all the crazy for his Joker role; it’s by far the showiest and most HFPA-friendly performance on the roster. —LG

Andrew Cooper/Sony Pictures

Best Motion Picture — Musical or ComedyOnce Upon a Time in HollywoodKnives OutDolemite Is My NameJojo RabbitRocketman

Should win: Once, for sure. But Jojo’s Hitler comedy is a loony, tender-hearted achievement, and Knives Out is ridiculous fun. Dolemite was a low-key charmer and Rocketman, well, it’s the kind of biopic that’s made for shows like these.
Will win: Once Upon a Time is the closest thing to a masterpiece in this category; it feels miles ahead of the rest. —LG

David Appleby/Paramount; François Duhamel/Netflix

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture — Musical or ComedyTaron Egerton, RocketmanEddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My NameDaniel Craig, Knives OutRoman Griffin Davis, Jojo RabbitLeonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Should win: DiCaprio is pretty much flawless as the washed-up Hollywood cowboy in Once Upon a Time, and Craig’s drawling detective has approximately 1000 times more fun in Knives Out than any poker-faced Bond has a right to. Griffin Davis is fantastic in Jojo too, but these prizes rarely go to kids.
Will win: The Eddie Murphy comeback narrative feels strong, though Taron could pull a Bohemian Rhapsody redux for his bravura Rocketman turn. —LG

LD Entertainment/Roadside Attractions

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — DramaCynthia Erivo, HarrietScarlett Johansson, Marriage StorySaoirse Ronan, Little WomenCharlize Theron, BombshellRenée Zellweger, Judy

Should win: There are no weak nominees in this category, but Renée’s radical immersion in Judy deserves the prize.
Will win: Somewhere over the rainbow, Zellweger has already given her acceptance speech. —LG

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture — Musical or ComedyBeanie Feldstein, BooksmartEmma Thompson, Late NightAna de Armas, Knives OutAwkwafina, The FarewellCate Blanchett, Where’d You Go, Bernadette

Should win: De Armas could be a dark horse for Knives Out, which she’s stealthily great in; the other performances feel either too lightweight or like legacy nods for truly underwhelming films.
Will win: Awkwafina is the frontrunner here — a light comedic actress (and, until recently, rapper) showing her stuff in a winning indie that relies entirely on her offbeat charm. —LG

Niko Tavernise/Netflix; Netflix

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion PictureTom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the NeighborhoodAnthony Hopkins, The Two PopesAl Pacino, The IrishmanJoe Pesci, The IrishmanBrad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Should win: This is the Sophie’s choice of categories: Pitt is arguably a co-lead in Once Upon a Time, but it’s one of his finest turns in a three-decade career that so far somehow has no acting Oscars in it; Hanks, too, does everything you hoped he would (and nothing he shouldn’t) with his portrayal of fellow American icon Mr. Rogers in Neighborhood.

Will win: Will Pesci and Pacino cancel each other out? Both are stellar in Irishman, but the edge might go to Pacino’s brighter star. —LG

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in any Motion PictureMargot Robbie, BombshellKathy Bates, Richard JewellAnnette Bening, The ReportLaura Dern, Marriage StoryJennifer Lopez, Hustlers

Should win: All good women here, with a special nod to Robbie in Bombshell, but this is Lopez’s career-best: Gritty, visually dazzling, and — beneath all the body glitter — gratifyingly human.
Will win: Do not step in front of the chugging J. Lo train; you will be dead on the tracks. —LG

Best Motion Picture — AnimatedFrozen 2How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden WorldThe Lion KingMissing LinkToy Story 4

Should win: Calling Lion King animation feels like a stretch, though it’s a marvel of CG-live action blending; it’s also emotionally hollow and sort of joyless. The sweet, inconsequential Missing Link is the only one that’s not a sequel or a remake, but that might not help it much here.
Will win: Is Toy Story 4 too existentially weird? If so, make way for Frozen 2. —LG

Best Television Series — Drama The CrownThe Morning ShowSuccessionBig Little LiesKilling Eve

Should win: Succession. HBO’s soapy saga about a wealthy and toxic media family exploded into the zeitgeist with its darkly comic and superbly acted second season.
Will win: The Crown. With the complete cast turnover in season 3, Netflix’s royal drama has the benefit of being both a previous Globes winner (2017) and a shiny new series, which HFPA voters love. They’re also big fans of The Crown’s second queen, Olivia Colman, who won last year for playing a far more outrageous monarch in The Favourite. —Kristen Baldwin

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series — DramaJennifer Aniston, The Morning ShowOlivia Colman, The CrownJodie Comer, Killing EveNicole Kidman, Big Little Lies Reese Witherspoon, The Morning Show

Should and will win: Jennifer Aniston. No matter what you thought of The Morning Show (and I did not hate it), Aniston’s performance as the righteously rageful TV host Alex Levy is an undeniable triumph. The former Friends star is exactly the kind of TV royalty that Globes voters adore, and we’re sure Apple TV+ spared no expense in their awards campaign.  —KB

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series — DramaBrian Cox, SuccessionTobias Menzies, The CrownBilly Porter, PoseKit Harington, Game of ThronesRami Malek, Mr. Robot

Should and will win: Brian Cox. We at EW have nothing but love for Pose star Billy Porter, but it’s time for the gold rush to begin for Succession’s terrifyingly intense leading man, who was snubbed by the Emmys. —KB

Best Performance by an Actress in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionHelen Mirren, Catherine the GreatMichelle Williams, Fosse/VerdonMerritt Wever, UnbelievableKaitlyn Dever, UnbelievableJoey King, The Act

Should win: Merritt Wever. The quiet power of Wever’s turn as Detective Karen Duvall is simply astounding. Plus, Williams already won her well-deserved Emmy. How about we spread the love?
Will win: Michelle Williams. A movie star delivering a tour-de-force performance as a Broadway star in a highly pedigreed limited series? The Globes voters won’t be able to resist. —KB

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionToni Colette, UnbelievableMeryl Streep, Big Little LiesHelena Bonham Carter, The CrownPatricia Arquette, The ActEmily Watson, Chernobyl

Should and will win: Helena Bonham Carter. No one had more fun onscreen in 2019 than Bonham Carter, who vividly brought Princess Margaret’s tempestuous, booze-filled charm and her aching disappointment to life. —KB

Steve Schofield/Amazon Studios

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionAlan Arkin, The Kominsky MethodKieran Culkin, SuccessionHenry Winkler, BarryAndrew Scott, FleabagStellan Skarsgard, Chernobyl

Should and will win: Andrew Scott. The actor’s sexy, funny, sweet, and terribly sad performance launched 1,000 #HotPriest memes, but was inexplicably not included in the Emmys’ wave of Fleabag love. The Globes will likely be very happy to right that wrong — and unlike Scott, Kieran Culkin’s show will continue past season 2, so the also-deserving actor will have more chances to win. —KB

Steve Schofield/Amazon Prime Video

Best Television Series — Musical or Comedy BarryThe PoliticianFleabagThe Kominsky MethodThe Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Should and will win: Fleabag. There’s a reason why Phoebe Waller-Bridge’s Fleabag has earned so many accolades. Season 2 of the confessional sexcom turned into a heart-exploding love story, balancing unrepressed passion with deeply spiritual inquisition. It’s also an Amazon series (the streamer has a good history in this category) and Waller-Bridge has the kind of buzzy glamour the Hollywood Foreign Press Association famously adores. —Darren Franich

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series — Musical or Comedy Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. MaiselKirsten Dunst, On Becoming a God in Central FloridaChristina Applegate, Dead to MeNatasha Lyonne, Russian DollPhoebe Waller-Bridge, Fleabag

Should win: Waller-Bridge writes, produces, and gives an intensely intimate and scathingly sharp tragicomic performance. The hype is real!
Will win: My Globe-y sense is tingling! Waller-Bridge and Lyonne had the buzzier critical hits, and Applegate is an HFPA favorite with nominations stretching back to her Jesse days. And yet, a sudden premonition has struck me like lightning, and I expect Dunst’s skewed work on her ‘90s satire will earn her a prize — and lead viewers to Google “What is On Becoming a God in Central Florida”? —DF

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series — Musical or ComedyMichael Douglas, The Kominsky MethodBill Hader, BarryBen Platt, The PoliticianPaul Rudd, Living With YourselfRamy Youssef, Ramy

Should win: Huzzah to the HFPA for nominating breakout comedy voice Ramy Youssef. His faintly autobiographical Ramy is a comic delight, and he deserves all the prizes for his subtle, sweet lead role.
Will win: Bill Hader missed out on a Globe last year when Douglas led the unexpected Kominsky charge. Expect him to take home the trophy for his brilliant work as an assassin turned actor. —DF

Best Television Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television The Loudest VoiceChernobylUnbelievableFosse/VerdonCatch-22

Should win: Chernobyl features bitter scientists struggling through radioactive disaster and totalitarian reality-warps. Creator-writer Craig Mazin’s fascinating five-parter wrings brilliantly corrosive entertainment out of the true-life terror, though, and already has that Limited Series Emmy on the mantel.
Will win: …whereas meta-levels of star power shine through Fosse/Verdon, a miniseries about showbiz royalty starring Oscar favorites and executive produced by Lin-Manuel Miranda. —DF

Best Performance by an Actor in a Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for TelevisionSam Rockwell, Fosse/VerdonRussell Crowe, The Loudest VoiceJared Harris, ChernobylChristopher Abbott, Catch-22Sacha Baron Cohen, The Spy

Should win: Jared Harris sometimes seems pigeonholed as the Guy Slowly Dying In Period Pieces, but his stunningly cerebral turn as Valery Legasov grounds Chernobyl in sensitive humanity and unexpected courage.
Will win: The Loudest Voice sometimes came off like an incredibly well-intentioned SNL sketch, and that won’t stop HFPA voters from honoring Crowe’s over-the-top impression of the late Fox News monstro-chief Roger Ailes. —DF
Related content:
How to watch the Golden Globes on TV and online
The Awardist podcast: Who should win vs. who will win at the Golden Globes
Golden Globes taps Chris Evans, Margot Robbie, Scarlett Johansson, more to present

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